Influence of meteorological variables in health: analysis of pneumonia innovations in children
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.6008/CBPC2179-6858.2019.003.0004Keywords:
Climate Variables, Respiratory diseases, Hospitalizations, ChildrenAbstract
There is a prevalence in hospital records of respiratory diseases, especially in children. Pneumonia is one of the respiratory morbidities with the highest morbidity and mortality rates in Brazil and in the municipality to be studied. The objective of this research was to analyze the influence of meteorological variables upon hospitalizations for pneumonia in children. The current research is an epidemiological, cross-sectional descriptive study with a quantitative and descriptive approach. For the statistical analysis of the data the negative binomial model belonging to the class of generalized linear models was adjusted, adopting a level of significance of 5%, based on the statistical platform R. It was estimated that the average number of pneumonia cases increased approximately 48% at each degree centigrade increase in mean air temperature and decrease approximately 32% at each degree centigrade increase in maximum air temperature, also decreasing by about 3% at every 1% increase above the relative humidity average, as to the variable wind the number of pneumonia cases is expected to increase by around 36% with the increase of wind speed. Assessing the health risk of the population due to climate data is an important step in planning and implementing actions. Public health managers can use the predictive model to prepare health services to receive children in periods when there are major records of pneumonia cases.
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